Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.011040 0.013385 0.016338 0.020422 0.026083 0.033912 0.046071
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.008162 0.010753 0.014453 0.020416 0.030456 0.048239 0.087001
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.006613 0.009156 0.013078 0.020073 0.033621 0.062917 0.151318
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005421 0.007736 0.011480 0.018611 0.033819 0.072026 0.225525
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004655 0.006806 0.010425 0.017711 0.034636 0.083706 0.354884
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004183 0.006262 0.009897 0.017638 0.037317 0.104488 0.681173
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003880 0.005945 0.009702 0.018180 0.041962 0.140600 1.841218
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003578 0.005585 0.009347 0.018250 0.045392 0.180374 6.331219
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003247 0.005126 0.008718 0.017483 0.045739 0.206021 23.337040
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003004 0.004801 0.008309 0.017157 0.047537 0.249625 1045.677835
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002891 0.004703 0.008355 0.018042 0.054778 0.378305 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002819 0.004676 0.008544 0.019402 0.065666 0.666653 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002722 0.004610 0.008690 0.020894 0.080752 1.491148 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002544 0.004363 0.008382 0.020888 0.088181 2.734578 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002372 0.004107 0.008008 0.020534 0.093318 5.022816 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002166 0.003760 0.007361 0.019026 0.088281 5.710409 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002009 0.003503 0.006906 0.018098 0.087163 8.166093 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001905 0.003351 0.006697 0.018023 0.093451 23.165989 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001838 0.003270 0.006654 0.018582 0.107244 579.276639 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001757 0.003152 0.006501 0.018653 0.116978 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001653 0.002975 0.006163 0.017863 0.115596 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001574 0.002846 0.005945 0.017527 0.119837 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001541 0.002820 0.006005 0.018440 0.144707 NaN NaN